It’s not rocket science!

A graph that more or less says it all.

I am indebted to Peter Sinclair for his permission to reproduce the graph below.  It was embedded in his post on Climate Crocks on the 20th September, a post he not unreasonably called The Planetary Emergency.

As Peter wrote,

As you can see from the graphic above, the actual observations of arctic sea ice melt are far outstripping the climate model predictions of just a few years ago, that the denial-sphere continues to call “alarmist”. Apparently, not alarming enough.

Read the rest of Peter’s post here.

The point of publishing this on Learning from Dogs is simply as an introduction to a post coming out tomorrow called Hear no evil; or is that hear no climate change?, the purpose of which is to ask a very simple question of the two gentlemen wishing to reside in the White House as President of the USA for another four years.  All revealed tomorrow!

5 thoughts on “It’s not rocket science!

  1. Short but very sweet (or is that “bitter”?). 😉

    BTW, the URL for Peter’s blog is pluralised (i.e. climatecrocks) and people generally refer to the site by its full name (i.e. “Climate Denial Crock of the Week”) unless they are being dispaging of it.

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  2. The reason for the faster collapse than expected by all and any climate model has to do with neglecting new factors of warming instigated by the warming itself. The article in The Economist http://www.economist.com/node/21563278 has some of those.

    My own, older essay http://patriceayme.wordpress.com/2012/08/28/record-arctic-melt-down/ has more, including the fact that the cold water in the Arctic is only 300 meters deep (!). And of curse there could be, there will be, as warming proceeds further, CH4 eruptions…
    I also analyze the philosophical reasons for the opposition of the large Anglo-Saxon colonies to do anything about climate change… with devastating consequences.

    That opposition goes on to this day, because the simplest, most efficient way to abate the warming would be a worldwide carbon tax, but the USA opposes it stridently (as it fights the measures the European Union took).
    PA

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    1. Thanks Patrice, although I quietly thought to myself that a contribution from you on this topic was almost guaranteed! 😉

      That Economist article was most pertinent to the debate, and the closing paragraphs especially so:

      Over and out?

      As yet none of these ideas has been confirmed, and for now there is no definitely discernible pattern in terms of severe weather. James Overland of America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, who works on the matter, points out that normally temperate places saw unusually cold winters in 2009-10 and 2010-11, which some people have linked to strong previous melting; but after similar melting the winters of 2011-12 and 2008-09 turned out quite differently.

      The effects in the Arctic, on fisheries and trade, may be easier to measure. But low levels of ice do not mean open water everywhere. Shell’s attempts to drill for oil in the Chukchi Sea this August were forestalled by ice floes which, though small by the scale of continents, were pretty large by the standards of human engineering. On the other side of the ocean the Parry Channel, a part of the Northwest Passage which has been ice-free in previous years, this year stayed resolutely impassable.

      Such quirks will make the Arctic an unpredictable place to work. But if the details are tricky, the big picture is clear. Clear as an open ocean.

      Meanwhile, the UK receives over a month’s rain in two days and more to come. And the top three headlines on the BBC News website today are:

      President Obama condemns violence and extremism as he addresses the UN General Assembly

      The BBC apologises for revealing that the Queen raised concerns with ministers about the activities of a radical cleric who is facing extradition to the US.

      China says its first aircraft carrier – a refurbished Soviet ship – has entered into service, expanding its ability to defend its sovereignty.

      It all has a distinct Alice in Wonderland feel!

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      1. I agree it is mad – they have started quoting the precipitation in mm per hour (e.g. 10mm/hr in places yesterday). If this doesn’t sound like much, you should try standing outside while its happening; also consider how much rain falls in 24 hour hours if it never stops…

        China is a complete enigma – I have a post coming out at midnight regarding two news items from last week (regarding its One Child Policy) – No.1 polluter and No.1 investor, it recognises the need to mitigate climate change but will probably be the last to stop burning coal…

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