Category: Finance

Insulting us, postscript

Just a few figures that underline reality.

US rent indexes declined in September. Last time this happened was 1992.

US Consumer Price Index fell 1.3%, year on year, in September 2009. Note that it bottomed at -2.1% y/y in July 2009, making it the largest annual contraction since 1949.

September’s US food prices fell (-0.2%) in September, the first annual decline in over 40 years.

US industrial production, as of August, was down (-10.7%) compared to August 2008.

Just a US problem?

Japanese industrial production, as of August, was down (-22.7%) compared to August 2008.

Britain’s industrial production, as of August, was down (-9.3%) compared to August 2008.

Eurozone area industrial production, as of August, was down (-15.9%) compared to August 2008.

Meanwhile the banks steam ahead reporting huge profits ……

Crazy world!

By Paul Handover

Cash for Clunkers program a failure

The law of unintended consequences

It should come as no surprise to anyone that U.S. car companies are slumping once again.  The Cash for Clunkers program was a wasteful, inefficient publicity stunt or, worse, an actual attempt by the US Federal Government to stimulate the economy.  The worse part is that the program cost the economy jobs: many healthy, profitable dealerships had their company taken away from them by government edict under this program, never to return.  It’s almost criminal.

By Sherry Jarrell

The truth about this crisis – and it isn’t pretty!

The coincidence of events

Today started like most days in that after a breakfast with Jean it was time to switch on the PC and review the news that had come in over night and think about what material might be appropriate for the Blog.  But that’s as far as it went for a normal day.

Because a number of items came together in a way that left me reeling.  Not because it was necessarily new information but because together they represent the most compelling evidence as to why this economic crisis happened and, more importantly, the terrible likelihood that our leaders aren’t go to fix it and that the future will bring an even worse calamity.

Read more about this critically important subject

Health Care vs. Health Insurance

Being clear about the terms Care and Insurance when it comes to US health.

The issue for the day is the distinction between health CARE and health INSURANCE.

As we all know, they are not the same thing.  But, as we all have noticed, the two are often confused and the distinctions ignored by many, if not most, in the media, Congress, and the White House.

Health Care and Health Insurance are certainly interdependent. But it helps first to separate the two and take each in turn.

Let’s start with health insurance.  And let’s think of it first as just any “insurance,” like a policy on your house or car.

What is insurance?  It’s a contract that you buy to limit your losses if a bad event happens, even though the likelihood of the bad event occurring is usually very low.

Read more about this important issue

“What does economics mean?” by an economist

Keynes, macro economics and other terms need to be more widely understood.

Macroeconomics as a field is not very impressive, frankly.

In my view, it is more glorified accounting and policy than anything remotely related to testable economic theory!

Keynesian economics — the stuff that most macro courses are made of — smacks of a model created to justify a pre-conceived belief that government can run businesses better than private industry can.  Keynes spoke strictly of demand-side policies, namely fiscal and monetary policies, which create a large role for government intervention, as opposed to supply side policies, which basically get government out of the way by lowering taxes, fees, paperwork, and restrictions, and allow private industry to take risks and create value and manifest economic freedom.

Read more about economics

Starting a business

Looks like a nice series from USA Today newspaper.

Just happened to be staying in a hotel last week that offered free copies of USA Today.  Too mean to buy my own copies!

Anyway, that Monday was the start of a small business entrepreneur’s series running for 6 weeks.

Don’t worry if you missed the paper version, all available online.  Week One is here, Week Two here.  Bookmark it if you want to follow all 6 weeks – seems well thought out and mostly relevant to both sides of the Pond.

By Paul Handover

Sunday smile … and passion in business

First impressions, reliable or not?

This joke that I received recently might amuse you:

Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.

That happens! In some cases, you might have preferred to retain the first impression and wish that they had never spoken!

But sometimes, this “don’t judge a book by its cover” effect can work in the opposite direction; as a result, I nearly missed out on enjoying a passionate presentation.
Read more about passion!

Unfamiliar territory for stockmarkets

Stockmarkets in very foreign territory

On August 6th, a Post was published on this Blog with the title of This is going to end in tears!

It was prompted by an article by Karl Denninger and a footnote piece from Dave Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff.

Also included were the US and UK prices for 4th August (about 7am MT) more for my own curiosity than anything else.  They were:

Dow Jones 9295, S&P 500 1,001, NASDAQ 2002, FTSE 100 (now closed) 4671.

By comparison, here are the figures for these markets (all closed at time of writing) for the 18th September.

Dow Jones 9820, S&P 500 1,068, NASDAQ 2133, FTSE 100 5173.

Well another fascinating muse from Mr Rosenberg was in this morning’s inbox and important extracts are below:

Read Rosenberg’s comments

Naked Capitalism – can you help?

Anybody out there who can offer some support?

Yves Smith is responsible for the Blog, Naked Capitalism.  It’s a great Blog and it must take a huge amount of effort to publish the volume of information that Yves does.

Yves has a problem, read here, an extract from his Post below:

Dear patient readers, this is a bit of sentence first, verdict afterwards, but it is 6:00 AM and I have spent all day and all night dealing with copy edits and am still behind the eight ball and need to sleep too, or my productivity will go from poor to non-existent.

So you get an antidote now, and if you check back later, I will fill in some links for your delectation, and hopefully at least a wee post too.

Sorry about this, I feel bad about neglecting the blog, particularly after the technical difficulties of last week, but the WordPress problems put me further behind schedule. And to be honest, they weren’t just WP.

If you can help or know someone who could, then contact details are here.

By Paul Handover

The sub-prime crisis

British humour

One aspect of British culture is their dry sense of humour.  In terms of satire, for over a decade three people have held pole positions: Rory Bremner, John Bird and John Fortune.  WikiPedia has a very good summary.

Bird and Fortune have also recorded a series of ‘interviews’ focusing on some of the idiocies of life.

Here’s a classic about the sub-prime crisis.  Slightly dated but no less funny for that.

More from these incredibly, clever guys from time to time.

By Paul Handover