Tag: Wall Street

More about consumer protection for financial products.

Many ideas are more complex that we appreciate.

One of the great bonuses in being part of the author group of Learning from Dogs is that we are all having to dig in deeper on issues than we might otherwise do.  Part of the weakness of our modern busy lives is that we run the risk of forming or reinforcing opinions ‘on the fly’.  The modern media tends towards this approach.  But on a Blog that strives to write about integrity it behoves us all to be more careful about what is correct if, indeed, there is a correct answer.

John Lewis first posed the idea of whether financial products should be regulated in terms of consumer safety, like your toaster!  Sherry Jarrell then replied to that as a comment which was worth being made a separate Post.  That Post then attracted comments and, again, in amongst them was another detailed reply from Sherry that has been made the subject of this Post.  As implied, many of today’s issues are far too important to be left to the headline writers.  Here’s Sherry:

Read more of Sherry’s views on this topic

Zombie Stocks: Not for the faint of heart

Prof. Sherry Jarrell in the news

A news release by Wake Forest University has been picked up by at least one publication. It reads as follows:
Two weeks before Halloween, the Securities and Exchange Commission again warned investors against buying shares of bankrupt companies, but like those creatures in horror films that rise from the dead, so-called “zombie” stocks–shares of companies that failed during the financial crisis–are still on the march.zombies

Take, for example, Washington Mutual and Lehman Brothers. At the end of last year, their stocks traded at 2 cents and 3 cents per share, respectively. With no future earnings in sight, shares of Washington Mutual recently traded around 20 cents, and Lehman Brothers shares have hovered around 15 cents–spectacular gains fueled by what many consider nothing more than gambling.

Critics have called on the SEC to halt the trading of such stocks to protect unsophisticated investors who might be lured into unwise trades. But Professor Sherry Jarrell, who teaches a graduate-level class on investments and portfolio management in the Wake Forest University Schools of Business, disagrees.

While Jarrell doesn’t think investing in zombie stocks is a sure-fire profitable strategy, she doesn’t consider it gambling either, because there is an expectation of gain. Jarrell also doesn’t believe those who are trading zombie stocks are ignorant or unsophisticated. Jarrell says:

To outlaw these stocks means that you’ve truncated an avenue for people to express their different risk preferences. If someone wants to go on that haunted trail, let them. It’s not like they’re taking advantage of people on the other side of the trade.

Washington Mutual and Lehman Brothers lost their standing to be listed on stock exchanges, so traders have to keep up with prices through a quotation service known as the Over the Counter Bulletin Board, which unsophisticated investors are unlikely to access. Other troubled companies, such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and AIG, whose shares are widely considered to be zombie stocks, are still listed on major exchanges. The federal government’s own backing of those companies weakens any argument against allowing individuals to invest in them, if they dare.

One project Jarrell assigns her students is to identify a publicly traded stock they believe the market has significantly mispriced. By definition, she says, the exercise requires the same calculation made by traders of zombie stocks–reaching a different conclusion about a stock’s future cash flows and risks than that of the market.

Jarrell points out that all investments carry a degree of risk proportional to potential returns, and investors have varying tolerances for risk. Some hide from risk; others seek it out.

She recalls a study some years ago that found striking similarities in the blood chemistry of day traders on Wall Street and jet fighter pilots. “It turns out they need a certain amount of danger to feel normal,” Jarrell says. “They seek risk in order to feel comfortable.”

By Sherry Jarrell

More truth about this crisis

“Never in the field of financial endeavour has so much money been owed by so few to so many. And, one might add, so far with little real reform.”

Thus spoke Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, on Tuesday night, 20th October, to a group of Scottish

Mervyn King
Mervyn King

business people.  Echoing one of Churchill’s many famous sayings, Governor King is probably one of the highest ranking people around to state, at last, what everyone on the Clapham Omnibus (a London bus route) knows to be obvious.  Whether the forces can build to a point where common sense is applied by Governments before we enter another Great Depression is another matter.

Mention of the Great Depression (the last one) triggers a step back in time.

On June 16th 1933 Franklin Roosevelt signed into law the Glass-Steagall Act.  In fact that was the second Act signed

Senator Carter Glass
Carter Glass

into law, the first Act was passed by Congress in February 1932 and was largely designed to stop deflation.  The second Act was, in a sense, much more important because it set out to prevent bank holding companies from owning other financial institutions.  It was repealed on November 12th, 1999 by the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act. Just a little under 10 years ago.  10 years which have seen the biggest boom-bust probably ever in modern history.  And has much of the Western world slipping into another great depression.

US Senator Carter Glass and US Congressman Henry B. Steagall must be turning in their graves

Steagall
Henry Steagall

But thank goodness for investigative journalism and the role of the Internet in creating a truly open ‘meeting place’.

Read more about this Post

Janet Tavakoli on Warren Buffet

The following is reproduced in full from the TSF website and is reprinted with the permission of Tavakoli Structured Finance, Inc.

It’s a fascinating tale about Warren Buffet in the midst of all the financial turmoil.  And in case you think that Tavakoli Finance is run by the grey suit brigade …

Janet Tavakoli
Janet Tavakoli

Read Tavakoli’s article about Buffet

Greenspan being quite remarkable!

Fingers crossed this becomes a key political statement.

I am indebted to Baseline Scenario for drawing my attention to a recent article in Bloomberg.  Greenspan is voicing what many regard as so obvious we wonder why the present US Government haven’t been pushing for this for some time. (And if you want the answer to that question, read this)

Anyway, in the Bloomberg story Greenspan says:

“If they’re too big to fail, they’re too big,” Greenspan said today. “In 1911 we broke up Standard Oil — so what happened? The individual parts became more valuable than the whole. Maybe that’s what we need to do.”

Breathtaking!

And Greenspan goes on to say:

“Failure is an integral part, a necessary part of a market system,” he said. “If you start focusing on those greenspanwho should be shrinking, it undermines growing standards of living and can even bring them down.”

Amen to that!

By Paul Handover

Insulting us, postscript

Just a few figures that underline reality.

US rent indexes declined in September. Last time this happened was 1992.

US Consumer Price Index fell 1.3%, year on year, in September 2009. Note that it bottomed at -2.1% y/y in July 2009, making it the largest annual contraction since 1949.

September’s US food prices fell (-0.2%) in September, the first annual decline in over 40 years.

US industrial production, as of August, was down (-10.7%) compared to August 2008.

Just a US problem?

Japanese industrial production, as of August, was down (-22.7%) compared to August 2008.

Britain’s industrial production, as of August, was down (-9.3%) compared to August 2008.

Eurozone area industrial production, as of August, was down (-15.9%) compared to August 2008.

Meanwhile the banks steam ahead reporting huge profits ……

Crazy world!

By Paul Handover

The truth about this crisis – and it isn’t pretty!

The coincidence of events

Today started like most days in that after a breakfast with Jean it was time to switch on the PC and review the news that had come in over night and think about what material might be appropriate for the Blog.  But that’s as far as it went for a normal day.

Because a number of items came together in a way that left me reeling.  Not because it was necessarily new information but because together they represent the most compelling evidence as to why this economic crisis happened and, more importantly, the terrible likelihood that our leaders aren’t go to fix it and that the future will bring an even worse calamity.

Read more about this critically important subject

The US personal savings rate.

What, You Think The Savings Rate Can’t Go Higher?

This Post is entirely indebted to others. It is too important a message not to warrant dissemination on this Blog. (But read to the end to see a valuable tutorial from our own Dr.Jarrell.)

So thanks: First to Naked Capitalism for providing the link (Yves does such an amazing job).  Then to Business Insider for the actual article, which is the bulk of this Post, as follows.  Finally to David Goldman who provides the data behind the chart.

The article starts thus:

This chart should give chills to anyone hoping that Americans will stop saving and start spending again.

Read more about the Savings Rate

Very few really saw this crisis coming; are we still in the dark?

Who really understood the forces of destruction building up in the global economy?

(This Post is longer than usual but doesn’t lend itself to being divided into multiple Posts – trust it is worth the read.)

Part One – How investing in the 80s was so hit and miss.

My education with respect to the sound management of one’s wealth came from a propitious mistake by a global insurance company, one of Britain’s largest insurance companies as it happens.  Here’s the story.

Read the rest of this Post

Another one of the few who saw the crisis coming.

Steve Keen – Associate Professor of Economics & Finance at the University of Western Sydney.

I know didly squat about economics.  I know a lot about the effect of economics in the sense of government policies, of inflation and debt, international trade and much more only in how they have impacted me over a lifetime of working, buying homes, raising a family, running a couple of businesses and now contemplating retirement.  I can sum up my personal strategy – LUCK!  I have been lucky.  The other Post out today shows an example of that luck.

Frankly, economists haven’t figured widely in my role call of people that I admired, probably because I don’t really understand what they are talking about.  (That’s why this Blog has a real live economist as part of the team, to help educate me and all the rest of the readers who come to this Blog!)

The other Post on this subject spoke of David Kauders, who clearly saw it coming.  Now here’s an economist who also saw it coming, Steve Keen.

Read more about Steve Keen