Category: Politics

Chickens coming home to roost?

Chickens, farming and global issues.

We keep chickens at our home in Devon, England and, thus, we have an account with a local farming supplies organisation called Mole Valley Farmers. Once a month we get a small news letter which I find fascinating. The first page always has The Chairman’s Newsletter and I love reading about the current price of grain, what’s current in the dairy world and a bit about food politics – usually very little about chickens but then I’m biased!

The Chairman quoted a British Government minister at a recent conference making a reference to the need to increase food production but then spending most of his speech talking about “rewilding” the countryside by reintroducing lynx and elk.  (The link is to a slightly tongue-in-cheek article in the Times Online.)

Quite how that would help food production was “incomprehensible” but it shows a complete lack of understanding about the serious threat to the UK, and other countries, as we now import so much of our basic food needs and many local farmers have been underpriced out of farming by the monopoly of the supermarkets. An interesting parallel with the banks  and greed in general.

With a world food shortage affecting many parts of the world it makes me wonder what is in store for us, especially our children. So far, I am unaware of anyone in UK politics making a link between pollution, food shortages, global warming and the fact that unless we wake up soon, we stand a big risk of reproducing ourselves out of existence.

By Jon Lavin

I haven’t got the energy ….

Energy contradictions underline some very strange attitudes.
h-mountainsI went for a bike ride this afternoon ….. there is a super 6km circuit that goes from our village Unterthingau along a country road, up past a farm with magnificent views over the Allgäu countryside then along to Oberthingau and back home …..  On the way there are horses and cows munching happily in fields and of course the snow-capped Alps in the background ….  The exercise and the fresh air were great, but during the ride I was struck by a couple of things. On the skyline in the direction of Kempten was – as usual – a line of a dozen wind turbines. All were – as usual – immobile, save one which was doing its best to turn languidly, and hardly succeeding.

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A private house in the village

Now the Germans do things properly, as we know. This area is pristine, hardly a blade of grass or a stone out of place; it is stunning.  So when it comes to energy-saving, they do it seriously (up to a point).

For a start, there are solar panels covering many roofs; the farmers get a subsidy for the installations and sell any surplus to the German National Grid. And then there are those windmills …. but the point is, they are usually motionless. There may be plenty of winter snow in this area, but there isn’t much wind.

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Solar panels on cowshed ...

This confirmed my view that windmills in most places in Europe are never going to solve the energy shortage. They are contributing almost nothing now, and of course only produce anything at all when there’s wind. Full marks to the Germans for trying, but it’ll never be enough.

Leaf-Blower_Vacuum
leaf-blower ....

Then as I rode through Oberthingau I saw a local resident blowing leaves off his forecourt with one of those “leaf-blower” machines ….  This struck me as bizarre.

In truth, I’ve NEVER understood those things. What is the point? You blow the leaves from one place to another and later on when there is a little wind it’ll blow them straight back again. If he had been hoovering UP the leaves, fine, but blowing them from one place to another? Why not use a broom? And what have they got against leaves, anyway?

And I thought, on the one hand we are rushing around like headless chickens trying to think of ways of generating energy and on the other we are totally wasting it on ludicrous non-essentials.

As has been claimed and to my mind proven for Africa, what is needed is not giant, national and international projects (though more nuclear power-stations would help) but micro-projects for the masses, and especially a cosmic change in the mindset. You only have to look around to see examples of humungous waste of energy.  Get rid for a start of most traffic lights! Dangerous? Errrmmm, no actually … experiments have shown that when there are no lights people drive more cautiously ….  Get rid of those barriers on motorways that go up and down thousands of times every day. How many people actually drive through a toll barrier without paying? And even if they do, the operator can take their number and report them; why on earth do we need an energy-consuming barrier?

It’s individual mindsets that need to change …  Do people really have to fire up their car to drive 300 metres to the baker’s on Saturday mornings? What happened to walking?  The British “school run” is a classic example; kids are driven to school, don’t get enough exercise and so get fat, the roads are clogged up (and dangerous) and loads of CO2 is produced. Insane …..

One thing is sure, insanity will not save us ….

The USA v Europe? Objectivity v Prejudice

The honourable practice of in-depth debate

Introduction

Sherry Jarrell wrote a response on the 6th November to the idea posed earlier by John Lewis about consumer protection for financial products. Her words included the sentence, “The reason the U.S. economy is as strong and vibrant as it is is because of our labor market, our capital market, and free enterprise.

This, in turn, was picked up by Patrice Ayme who referred to this in a recent Post on his own Blog and also submitted a long comment in Sherry’s Post.  Rather than have a debate within the comments section of Sherry’s Post it seemed better to make it a separate Post.  As Patrice compared the USA unfavourably to France, where he presently is, it seemed appropriate for me to contribute my thoughts, as I lived and worked in France for many years.  Chris Snuggs.

What follows is now my response to Patrice, with Patrice’s words in bold:

It may be argued that the worldwide power of USA based corporations, and supply chains directed towards the USA, go a long way to explain the riches of said USA. Cause and effect confusion, no? The supply chains and military power came from the business, not the other way round!

In any case, the assertion that the “US economy is strong and vibrant” needs to be stridently revised. So Sherry is asserting that at the present time! I personally am still giving Obama some more time for a final judgement. At least he’s got his health bill through (unlike the  Clintons) which may help to remove a national disgrace in the US. As for “strong and vibrant”, experts can better comment than I, but from where I sit it is of course nonsense. What IS true is that the US economy has fantastic underlying strength, but what you have at the moment is a stupendously productive cow that is on its knees, having been over-milked and basically abused. Do you really doubt that once it gets up, it will once again surge ahead?

California, where everything seems, weak, decaying, falling apart, and crucial elements of society seem on their way out. I can’t argue with your local knowledge (though other locals may have something to say!), but I did spend a week in NW New Jersey some 15 years ago, when I went to stay with my au-pair daughter. I was staggered at the reality of New York compared to the image. It was clean, well-organised, and stupendous. The taxis seemed new, Liberty and Ellis Islands were sublimely well-done. Central Park was amazing; Harlem looked to me far nicer place to live than Brixton in London. True, I didn’t get to visit the Bronx …..

The train we came from Edison into New York Central seemed to be made out of stainless steel. We went on a tour to Atlantic City, then Washington, West Virginia, Gettysburg. Everywhere we met wonderful, friendly, courteous people, excellent value for money. The White House was amazing; I remember some kids playing street hockey in front of it.

My overwhelming impression was one of deep, genuine human values and a terrific interest in quality in all respects. No doubt all is not rosy in all the USA; it is a vast country, but let’s not carried away by our “Europe is better” illusions, shall we? Have you been to the satellite towns round Paris recently?

The French built the world’s tallest bridge in three years, a few years ago, with a freeway on top (the five kilometer long Viaduc de Millaut, built by Vinci, a private contractor). The French have great engineers. Who denies it? But the USA has some of the world’s most amazing bridges, skyscrapers, buildings …. do you deny THAT? I am not sure of your point. What DOES seem to me true is that many people, many States, many countries and the Human Race as a whole are LIVING BEYOND THEIR MEANS.

This is true of the British government and clearly of California as a State …. it has been technically bust for years and is now approaching the precipice I believe ….. Sadly, it is only when the depths have been plummeted that people come to their senses and start to put things right …. I believe the Yanks can do this, but the process hasn’t really started yet.

The bridge elements were built in France, on the spot, not in China. Industry is not all about financial tricks to make Wall Street critters richer, it’s also about common sense. You can’t lump all American business along with the crass, incompetent and venal bankers. Yes, America has relied too much on cheap, Asian imports, but then so have we all. This will even itself out ….. what you should be worried about is that the Chinese are starting to build their own machine tools and robots …… how is the French robot industry? Probably at least better than the British …. thank God at least that we have the Germans in Europe.

The USA has become increasingly an unreal place which has frequently assigned other parts to war. The USA as “Warmonger”? Oh Dear ……

  • It got sucked into World Wars I & II – (both started in and by Europe) and in both cases saved Europe from dictatorship.
  • It defended Europe during the Cold War and without this help we may well have been overrun by the Soviet Union. Even WITH their defence it was sometimes a very close thing.
  • It defended South Korea and at enormous sacrifice saved the people there from 50 years of horrendously-gruesome dictatorship, which is what they have in the North, where the scale of human misery over decades is frightful.
  • It tried to do the same in Vietnam, but failed. The consequences there have not been so terrible as in North Korea, but who can predict these things in advance?
  • It has notoriously defended some very indefensible regimes in South America, partly because of the belief that the alternative to these horrible regimes was something even more horrible and partly to promote economic and political interests it had there. With hindsight, democracy would have been better served by it staying out.
  • It even – and inexcusably – supported Sadaam Hussein’s murderous attack on Iran to the point – I believe, but am prepared to stand corrected – where it gave Iraq military intelligence it used to gas young Iranians. Once again, it supported what it believed at the time to be the lesser of two evils; one can hardly deny that Iran is a basket case; the antithesis of democracy and ruled by a bunch of ageing lunatic fundamentalists.
  • It is in Afghanistan because an act of war against the WHOLE planet (I believe innocent citizens of over 70 countries died in the Twin Towers) was committed by a terrorists aided and abetted by that country’s then government. Once again, this is a case of the lesser of two evils; we are inevitably supporting a corrupt government (since practically all governments are corrupt, particularly in non-democratic and developing countries) against an evil, nihilistic and basically lunatic sect, the Taliban. Incidentally, if the Allies are struggling, it is because the rest of the world is doing little to help the forces of good against those of evil. Including, once again, France but excluding the usual suspects, the Brits, Canadians and the Germans (sort of) –  If the Taliban take over again, prepare once more for video of beheadings on football fields converted into “correction facilities”, the burning of libraries, the denial of education to women, the burning of books, paintings and music media and all the rest of it. If we have to leave, it is going to be very, very distressing for ordinary people there.
  • It invaded Iraq because that country’s leader was a megalomaniac dictator who had already started one war against Iran, invaded Kuwait, not stuck to the deal drawn up after Kuwait and was attempting to develop nuclear weapons. This last point can be debated endlessly, but the facts are that he was not cooperating with the IAEA inspectors, had in previous years been trying to develop WOMD and when none materialised during the invasion even his own troops were astonished that they had nothing, so good was his own propaganda and perhaps fantasy. Saddam Hussein was a mass-murdering, megalomaniac dictator and that France – so keen on doing business with SH before the invasion – should so long and loudly campaign against the so-called warmongering Americans who in fact liberated (a bit of a habit of theirs) Iraq from their gruesome leader is really a great shame from a country that itself had to use force to rid itself of dictatorship in the Revolution and therefore – until recently – was widely admired as a symbol of freedom. Now it is a symbol of realpolitik.

The Americans almost always defend democracy; that should make them the bosom allies of France. They saved France TWICE (quite apart from 200 million Russians and all the rest of us); that should make them the ETERNAL friends of France.

Now the long term, sustainable, much more democratic European model is rising. That is an assertion of yours. We’ll see how long-term and sustainable the European model really is. Some would say it is over-bureaucratic, over-dogmatic, and lacking in moral and physical courage. You may have forgotten that it was the YANKS (at no real advantage to themselves) who liberated Kosovo, a defenceless Muslim minority. It helps little to see all this in black and white; Europe has many great virtues, but for your description, the jury is out in terms of a flourishing civilisation as against a supposedly decomposing American fading dream.

“much more democratic”? When a European country votes against a Brussels treaty (they can rarely vote, of course), the Brusselcrats just wait a while and get them to vote again till the “right” decision is made. The British were promised a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty by its government, which then refused it. The recent treaty has gone through WITHOUT referendums in most countries, because that suited the political elites there. “Much more democratic”? You are having a laugh, aren’t you?

I would guess that a majority of people DO NOT WANT a European President. They DO NOT WANT a United States of Europe, but that is what Brussels is slowly forcing on them. I am surprised that France seems to want that. This is possibly because it still thinks it can control the EU just as it did in the early days; this could be an illusion.

“the decomposing system in the USA.” – I believe that a study of the history of the USA will show a country prepared to reinvent itself through the dynamism and inventiveness of its people and its work ethic. They are going through tough times – and they will get tougher – because the political and business elite got too greedy and forgot the basic virtues of thrift, hard-work, decency and honesty that made the country great. But the pendulum will swing back and then Europe may have to look to its sclerotic, over-regulated business model to see where it went wrong.

It may be time for the USA to learn, from overseas. Are you suggesting that European banks were somehow blameless in this fiasco? The rot may have started in the USA, but there were plenty of stupid and greedy bankers in Europe, and of course governments benefiting from this temporary and insane feeding frenzy.  I see no particular signs that Europe is developing a banking model that will stun the world with its integrity and efficiency. The whole of Britain’s economy was built on the sands of easy credit during the 90s, and the greatest of ironies is that the British Finance Minster responsible for all that is now lecturing the rest of the world as a so-called “Global Giant” on how to put things right. You couldn’t make it up, except that with successive supine, incompetent and short-termist European governments, we are so used to it that we know what’s going to happen almost before it does.

By “we” of course, I mean the mass of the people, who often seem to me to have far more common sense than the political heavyweights of Europe that seem to impress you.

If the “game” organized by the government is biased in favor of a few particular individuals (as it is right now in the USA, be those individuals private-public politicians, or Big Bankers, friends and clients of the preceding, and vice versa), what has happened to democracy, equal opportunity, freedom and the like?

Yes, a good question …… Democracy is in pain … the industrial, military, political power elite in the USA has too much power ….. this is obvious to me, but we’ll have to wait and see when it becomes so obvious to the people of the USA that they start to put it right. They voted for Obama in the hope that he WOULD start to put this right …… the jury is still out, but real change certainly won’t come overnight …..

As for the favoured elite, are you implying that this doesn’t exist in France? I am sorry to say that it is not only existent but thriving …. Many of the top people all go to the same few Grandes Ecoles.  Someone told me recently that 30% of the French education budget is spent on just 4% of the elite schools. Hence the decaying, inefficient, sub-standard university education for the plebs. And this is from France, that likes to think itself superior in culture, education and so on. YES, there are world class French companies with brilliant engineers, but they train at super-privileged schools while the masses put up with a sclerotic, conservative and basically crap education system. I should know; my stepsons are in it because I couldn’t afford the fees for a posh school.

On French coins it proudly boasts, “Liberty, Equality and Fraternity”. It is a LIE. There is little equality when it comes to higher education. And when the elite get their fancy diplomas, most are recruited by Old Boys of their elite schools; the cronyism and inherent corruption are easily as bad as anything in the USA, so let’s not get too self-righteous, shall we?

The elite? When Chirac became President, he said that the exaggerated power of the ENA (the top school for Administrators of the French state) would be cut back as it was not good for France. He was right, but did nothing whatsoever about it. He either lied or couldn’t deliver against the powerful vested interests, and by golly those are just as powerful in France as anywhere else. More so; they are completely institutionalised. I can’t list one single profound, structural reform that Chirac achieved.

Take just ONE small example. They have a lunatic system of taxi-licences in Paris. Basically, you buy your licence to run a taxi from an existing driver who retires or dies, the current price being about €100,000 ($148,000). Paris has the fewest proportion of taxis to people in the whole of Europe, I believe, but they can’t issue more licences or the price of licences would fall and the taxi-drivers would be cross. So when you arrive in Paris A) there aren’t enough taxis and B) those there are cost too much.

The dying embers of Chirac’s lame-duck administration tried to reform this, but the taxi-drivers instantly blocked the peripherique and the reform was abandoned just as instantly. Not for nothing do they say in France: “Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose.”

Democracy, the Law and Equality? Before becoming President, Chirac ran Paris for 15 years and it is common knowledge that there was a whole raft of illegal activities going on to finance his party; fictitious jobs, diversion of funds and in general a regime of corrupt political chicanery, cronyism and corruption. This was kinda tolerated by the French people because, well, “c’est comme ça”. One is so used to it one can only shrug one’s shoulders. At last, nearly two decades after Chirac ceased to be Mayor of Paris, he is about to appear in court for the crimes that occurred under his leadership. He couldn’t be prosecuted while President because the French President is “too important” and is therefore above the law. Let’s compare that to the USA, shall we, where wrong-doing by Nixon drove him out of office? The Clinton affair was ludicrous nastiness by the Republicans, but shows at least that the Americans put the law above politicians, not the reverse. “Egalité”? The French Presidency (which is even more elitist and powerful than the Washington version) is currently reeling under allegations of nepotism ionvolving Sarkozy’s son Jean. Not yet fully qyualified, he was earmarked to run a prestigious multi-million project at “La Défencé until even the French could not stomach it and he was forced to back out.  So let’s not have lectures from France about “democracy”, shall we? There is a world-wide problem of corruption almost everywhere among political leaders (except possibly in Scandinavia, Switzerland, Canada and a few other enclaves of hope), but let’s get the US in perspective.

What sort of integrity was it to give or lend or guarantee to Big Bankers so many trillion of dollars, without anything in return from them? Are the richest people in the USA so used to get money for nothing (thanks to a perverse tax structure, and decades of buying the most powerful politicians), that they cannot even say thank you? It wasn’t any sort of integrity at all; it was panic. But never under-estimate the power of the elite and rich, either in the USA OR in Europe (especially France) . All the banks should have been allowed to go bust and their directors go on the dole. Then the assets would have been bought up by someone else who would have installed new directors and started doing business in a better, wiser way, while we waited for a more efficient regulatory regime. Instead, governments panicked, poured in billions overnight, telling us it was for OUR OWN benefit, allowed most managers responsible for the mess to keep their jobs and – surprise, surprise – a year or so later the banks are at it again with their vast bonuses. It is no wonder the average Joe is mighty angry, and this could have bad consequences down the line, even for democracy itself.

Western, civilisation needs a massive reality check; the mad consumerism – and greed of the elite – have to be checked. ENRON gave us a warning we didn’t heed. There you had directors already rich beyond the dreams of most people and yet who even so wanted more, to the point where they engineered false breakdowns at power-stations to put up the price of electricity. That was a wake-up call that went unheeded as far as Wall Street was concerned.

People with a democratic and republican mind ought to ask these questions, instead of celebrating. Who exactly is celebrating? Seems to me that only those at Goldman Sachs and in comparable positions are celebrating … your average American is suffering, mostly through no fault of his own.  If some are talking up the economy it is of course because morale counts for a lot … I believe that standard economic thinking is that if people feel better they’ll spend more and the economy will grow …..  Well, the people may indeed at some stage “feel better”, but they will need to SEE and EXPERIENCE it rather than believe it in the mouths of pundits, since as far as I can see the average pleb is fed up with “talking”, spin and image.

an incomparable rot.: there is rot, but it is not incomparable. All “empires”, and in its size, wealth and power the US is comparable to an empire (a demopire, perhaps?) go through these cycles, and in many cases they go into terminal decline. However, I believe in the Americans’ inherent qualities to get them out of this, but it will not be easy.

Nobody can predict the future, but I will be very interested to see – if I am still around – how Europe and the USA compare in 20 years’ time. I don’t think I will be surprised, but maybe you will be, Patrice …..

What’s good in France? Technicians are highly-skilled; civil works are good; I mean public gardens, parks, infrastructure. But of course we pay very high taxes for all this, and especially employers. It is so expensive to employ people that employers try not to. Instead, they find ways of working better, which results in the productivity per worker being higher in France than in the US but unemployment in France being persistently higher than almost anywhere else, especially among the youth. Successive governments in France seem not to understand the connection between very high labour costs and high unemployment. Or they understand it and don’t care.

Sorry – this was supposed to be about good things in France!! Well, motorways are very good, but increasingly more expensive. They are much safer, but poor people prefer the normal roads, which are free but more dangerous. Ergo, better-off people are safer!! Vive l’égalité!

Food is excellent, restaurants cheap, except in chic parts of major cities. Wine is cheap. Standards in general are high, healthcare is excellent but the system is creaking under heavy costs. The bureaucracy is appalling for an Anglo-Saxon, but the British are becoming as bad. (French bureaucracy – which I lived under for 10 years – deserves an article of its own …..)

Let’s retain a sense of proportion, however …..

By Chris Snuggs

Blair Sorts Out Middle East ….

What a strange world we live in!

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Tony Blair

Tony Blair is said to be brokering a deal to open Tesco supermarkets in the Middle East.

(For those unfamiliar with the name Tesco, it is one of Britain’s largest grocery stores, probably on a par with Walmart.  It is a very major player in retailing.)

Yes, I’ve always thought that if I were Peace Envoy to the Middle East, storm centre and nuclear flashpoint of a troubled world, I’d try to do a bit of wheeler-dealing on the side for the odd £1 million ($1.63m) or so.

Perhaps it’s all part of a master plan: swamp the Middle East with Tesco’ses so that people are BOTH too well fed at reasonable price (you can debate this later!!!!) AND too busy shopping to reach for their Kalashnikovs ….

PS This will not go down well with Sarky (Nicolas Sarkozy, the French President) and Murky (German Chancellor Angela Merkel) …… one can just see the headlines:

“Former Tesco’s Salesman Chancer Takes Over EU”

…. I don’t think so!!

By Chris Snuggs



New Dawn For Russia?

Red-letter weekend?

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Dmitry MEDVEDEV

Dimitry Medvedev, President of Russia, hitherto regarded as something of a stooge for “Czar” Vladimir Putin, recently made an extraordinary attack on those trying to rehabilitate Josef Stalin, who has strong claim to be the greatest mass-murderer and originator of human misery in history.

On the face of it, it seems extraordinary that anyone in their right mind could possibly seek to rehabilitate such a monster, but for many Russians he represents “the good old days”, when Russia was “great”, and in particular the dark days of WWII, when he is supposed to have “saved” Russia from the Nazis.

This last of course ignores  the small detail that those who saved Russia were mostly young boys in Red Army uniforms who faced down the Wehrmacht in Stalingrad and elsewhere in unimaginably-terrible conditions.

However, despite being an “international communist”, Stalin “saved” Russia by appealing to nationalist sentiments. As this great country is once more going through tough times, the Russian conservatives, headed by Putin (“the loss of the Soviet Union was the greatest tragedy of my life”) have been seeking to play upon nationalistic sentiment by rehabilitating Stalin.

Now, nationalism is the most destructive of forces (apart perhaps from those inspired by “God”), and so we have a lot to fear from the extreme Russian version. But Medvedev has pricked the bubble in an act of considerable courage, for many enemies of the  Kremlin have died for less – witness Alexander Litvinenko in London

So, hats off to Medvedev.

Is he deliberately distancing himself from Putin? We should follow these events closely. We need Russia as a friendly partner on the world stage, and not just because of her resources.

By Chris Snuggs

Lies, damn lies and Government statistics!

Do the last US 3rd Quarter GDP figures stand up to inspection?

The press recently celebrated the 3.5% annualized rise in the third quarter in reported U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).  The figures were widely reported with, for example, CNNMoney, carrying the following headline and opening remarks:

Economy finally back in gear

Government says GDP grew 3.5% in third quarter, ending a year-long string of declines and coming in better than forecasts.

I urge caution in interpreting these figures at face value.  After all, the current GDP of the U.S. economy is simply the intersection of aggregate demand with aggregate supply.

As the figure below shows, GDP increases with increases in either the demand or supply curve, although increases in demand are accompanied by rising price levels while increases in supply push prices down and real incomes up.

graph

The quarterly figures make clear that the increase in demand was driven almost entirely by the expansion of government spending; the other three components of demand – consumption, business spending, and net exports, were either flat or falling.

Government spending is inherently short-term; it does not create wealth or enable sustainable growth.  In fact, neither consumption nor net exports create sustainable economic growth either.   Only business investment in new productive equipment (which includes business fixed investment, new residential housing and additions to inventory) has the potential to create sustainable growth in U.S. GDP, and then only when the investment leads to a permanent increase in the productivity of the business, namely a rightward (increased output per input) or downward (decreased cost) shift in the Aggregate Supply curve.

And there was little chance that the reported increase in GDP resulted from a long-term increase in the productive capacity or efficiency of the U.S. economy, as Business Investment was soundly negative in the 3rd quarter of 2009.

By Sherry Jarrell

[P.S. Karl Denninger at Market Ticker also raised big question marks about these figures. Ed.]

Britain’s National Interest ….

When is a National Interest not in the national interests?

“The Guardian”, a British newspaper, ran a story on October 30th quoting British Prime Minister Gordon Brown as gordon-brownsaying:

“If you have the chance for that to happen, it is in Britain’s national interest. But of course it may not happen, and there are other candidates as well.

This was in relation to the possible nomination of former British Premier Tony Blair as the first President of Europe as prescribed by the Lisbon Treaty, the EU’s attempt to rationalize its processes and – according to critics – take the EU forward on its seemingly-inevitable path to political union.

Now, a couple of things stuck me forcefully about this statement.

First, WHAT EXACTLY has choosing the first European President got to do with Britain’s national interest? Should we not be first of all concerned with EUROPE’S interest? Is a preoccupation with OUR national interest in the spirit of European partnership at all?

Secondly, HOW exactly could Britain’s national interest be supposed to benefit from the President being British? Would he somehow be expected to favour Britain? Perhaps swing lucrative aerospace contracts our way?

In other words, what Brown said was ridiculous, betraying a narrow, partisan view of what European cooperation is all about. Now I have many problems with the EU, but that doesn’t mean I like to see Britain taking such a parochial and frankly selfish standpoint.

I would feel no pride whatsoever just to see a Brit as President, nor would I expect or indeed wish any particular aspect of British national interest to be furthered just because the EU President was British.

On the contrary, I believe Britain’s image has immensely suffered with the current shenanigans involved in Whitehall’s lumbering attempts to push Blair’s candidacy, including reportedly sharp exchanges between Brown and other leaders Tony-Blair1at the current summit. It was – to me if apparently not to Blair and his advisors – blindingly obvious that the only way for Blair to have any chance of getting this post was to be humble, discreet, lofty and statesmanlike. Instead, we have seen reports to the effect that he would take the job “if it were big enough” and that various political worthies have been “sounded out” about whether they would serve under him in Brussels.

A large dose of hubris is in order I am afraid, and in any case Blair’s chances seem to be fading fast, not least because German Chancellor Angela Merkel is said to have become aware of how “unpopular Blair is in his own country”, in contrast to his international image as globe-strutting statesman.

Blair’s future does not interest me overmuch; I am more concerned by the current PM’s lack of judgement and statesmanship.

By Chris Snuggs

Karzai’s Flawed Legitimacy

If there’s a strategy behind Karzai’s ‘win’, it’s pretty difficult to spot!

Hamid-Karzai-after-voting-001

AFGHANISTAN: News from the Press on November 2nd revealed that British Prime Minister Gordon Brown had phoned Hamid Karzai to congratulate him on winning the recent Presidential election.

“Yes,” I hear. “He is our ally in a war and has been re-elected. Quite normal.”

Yes, but, but …. the election was very seriously flawed – indeed rigged – mostly by supporters of Karzai.

In “The Telegraph” we read: “An inquiry by a UN-backed watchdog this week confirmed staggering levels of fraud, most of it in favour of President Hamid Karzai. It declared more than one million ballots suspect – a quarter of the total cast..”

So, many in Karzai’s party CHEATED. To what extent Karzai himself orchestrated all this is unclear, but HE IS THE LEADER, and if the Leader is not overall responsible, who is? Mr Brown and the UN have also called on Mr Karzai to “end corruption”.

To summarize, A) the Karzai regime is corrupt and B) it cheated in the recent elections.

Given this, WHAT ON EARTH are we doing CONGRATULATING him? Do we usually congratulate corrupt cheats, or only when they are Presidents?

Or perhaps this is traditional, accepted “Diplospeak”?

For us, the world needs honesty, which includes above all speaking the truth. The truth is, there is NOTHING to congratulate Karzai for and so it should NOT have been done. If this is “diplomatic convention”, then CHANGE the convention in the interests of honesty.

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Sgt Olaf Schmid, British Army

We are stuck with Karzai for the moment, but if the corruption continues, then we will lose the fight; the Afghan people will simply no longer support our presence propping up a corrupt regime. But being stuck with him does not mean grovelling, or that honesty has to go out of the window. Too much is at stake.

On Sunday, November 1st, a British bomb expert was killed defusing his 65th bomb on his last mission. The truth is (that’s what we seek, isn’t it?) that we are paying a heavy price to support a corrupt cheat; many will soon start to say “too heavy a price”.

By Chris Snuggs

[PS. Interesting article in the Financial Times advocating that the US shouldn’t commit to a surge. PPS. Another 5 UK soldiers killed in Afghanistan brings this year’s total to 92.  Ed.]

How far can you push people?

Debt stress in Middle Class America – how may this play out?

On Saturday, October 24th Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism ran a Post on her Blog about an anonymous couple who were over their heads in debt.  (Yves has given me written permission to reproduce the Post.) The story of this couple then generated a huge response of comments. Read the comments, each and every one of them.

Then ask yourself abraham-lincoln-picturewhere this is all heading?  These comments may, almost certainly are, just be the tip of the iceberg.  Seems a long way from Lincoln’s Gettysburg address in which he was reputed  to have used the words: “… government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth.”

Some days I worry; worry a lot!

The extract from Yves Post about this couple is reproduced below but far better is to go and read the whole Post and all the comments.

UPDATE: Since writing this Post Yves has published a further Post on the topic again generating a huge volume of comments.  That was Sunday, November 1st.  Then bright and early on November 2nd James Kwak of Baseline Scenario weighs in with his version, Do smart, hard-working people deserve to make more money? 150 comments (at the time of writing) for that one.  Interestingly, as the days have gone on the mood of the commentators has become more reflective and thoughtful thus partly negating the theme behind this Post.

Read the Post from Naked Capitalism

Democracy and Marriage, Pt 2

A huge misunderstanding of democracy.

Yesterday, I covered the appalling lunacy that took place recently on British television.  This is the concluding part of my Post.

Nick Griffin and his party are gaining support because immigration in Britain has been overdone, and anything overdone is bad news. Moreover, many perceive that their own government has been involved in a campaign of nickgriffinblatant lying.

The average Brit is a staunch yeoman, solid as a rock, but he won’t take being lied to, nor patronised, nor flooded with immigrants of an alien culture who often show little wish to integrate and some of whom seem to be actively seeking the downfall of the west and the establishment of a single Islamic worldwide Caliphate.

Now these are megalomaniac dreams, but many before have had them: Genghis Khan and Hitler to name but two.

There is also a visceral dislike of certain Islamic practices seen as alien to an open, democratic society based on Human Rights, in particular the attitude to women.

Hence the growth of the BNP, which – despite the above arguments – remains a nauseatingly xenophobic and homophobic party.

BUT, and here’s the rub, it does – for better or worse, and thanks to the idiotic policies of the present Labour government – represent the views of a substantial and increasing minority of people.

Read more of this concluding part